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PTA Market Weekly (Nov 8-12, 2010)

2010-11-15
Price
Spot   8-Nov 12-Nov Weekly Average Trend
PX FOB Korea 1328 1223 1323.6
CFR China/Taiwan 1343 1238 1338.6
PTA China domestic market    (Yuan/mt cash, ex-ship) 10800 9400 10622
Tawan origin ($/mt CIF China L/C 90 days) 1310 1160 1304
Korea origin ($/mt CIF China L/C 90 days) 1295 1150 1288
Contract   Aug Sep Oct Nov
PX Asia ($/mt CFR Asia) 890 950 1025 1220
Sinopec (Yuan/mt, delivery) Offer 7150 7600 8800 10200
Settlement 7450 7900 9600 N/A
PTA Foreign producers ($/mt CIF China L/C 90 days) 882 910 N/A N/A
Sinopec (Yuan/mt, delivery) Offer 7350 7600 8400 10200
Settlement 7500 7700 8600 N/A
Imports(kt) July 606.7 August 550.5 September 610.3
Operating rate (%)   Sep 5-Nov 12-Nov
PTA plant 89.42 82 85
Polyester plant 82.49 85 85
PTA Inventory PTA plant 0-4 days Polyester plant 10-25 days
Market Roundup
PTA market took rollercoaster ride this week and the prices fluctuated greatly.

In the first half of the week, PTA futures market hit limit-up continuously amidst speculative fever. In import market, traded prices of Taiwan origin goods increased from $1170/mt last weekend to $1380-1400/mt in midweek; Korea origin goods also jumped from $1160/mt to $1360-1380/mt. In RMB market, the traded prices hiked from 9600-9700yuan/mt last Friday to 11000-11500yuan/mt in midweek.

The short-term large increase in polyester products prices cause downstream resistance, so some PFY producers began to offer discounts in transactions. Meanwhile, bottle chip producers started to overhaul the units due to dull sales. Coupled with the slump in stock market and cotton futures on Friday, PTA market sentiment weakened apparently. PTA spot prices dropped over $200/mt and 1800yuan/mt in two days. Talked prices for Taiwan origin goods fell to $1150-1160/mt, but the transactions were rarely heard. In domestic market, major traders still insisted at 9500-9600yuan/mt, while some small traders intend to sell at 9300-9400yuan/mt. 
Forecast
The pessimistic sentiment spread on the market as the most products in domestic futures market declined to limit down and A share market also dropped over 5%. PTA spot prices fell below PTA futures prices, so the futures market may touch another limit-down next week. In the short term, the market is expected to trend down further. 

 

 

source:CCFGroup.com

 
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